Semi Equipment Analysis Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis

SOXX 291.39

+2.8%

4:00 PM EST

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To: Return to Sender who wrote (30262)	5/5/2006 8:37:29 AM
From: robert b furman	Read Replies (1) of 95478

Hi RtS, Your bottom link shows an ominous SOX long term cup and handle. It is perhaps instructive to note that 2000's tech blow off ocurred on a declining market strength scenario. It is inportant to note that tech is hot when demand has already driven up commoditie prices and basic industry stocks have had their run.This run albeit has been extraordinary since global growth has sinchronized global demand. I used to think the next tech run would most likely be timid compared to 2000. This time with global growth in more markets and the time period of peaks now being over 6 years - it could well be another very powerful run - yet further off in time as the global growth curve appears to be very solid and self correcting. Great work and as alaways thanks for sharing your hard work and offering what can only be called a sober and cautioning perspective. Bob

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