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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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From: LindyBill4/27/2009 12:40:48 AM
   of 793771
 
From the comments, at Effect Measure
MARGINAL REVOLUTION BLOG
By Tyler Cowen on Medicine

It surprises me that no one has mentioned this, so i'll end years of quietly lurking and say it myself: a possible explanation for the difference in clinical picture here vs Mexico lies in the sample size here. 8 of 8 confirmed "swine flu" cases here have not involved serious lower respiratory infection or death. But about 60 of about 1,000 generally unconfirmed cases of "swine flu" in Mexico have. If those all confirm, that's about a 6% CFR. From what i've read, we don't have data yet on the CFR of confirmed cases in Mexico, and we don't have a satistically significant sample here for measuring phenomena in the single percentage digits.

This tells me that there is no confirmed or statistically significant difference in the clinical picture between US & Mexico.

Of course Mexico is where most of the data points lie. That's Suzanne Bunton. Read the other comments too. If the Obama administration believes in competent government, it would be nice if they would meet the public health standards currently practiced by the government in Mexico. Even a completed fence would not stop a virus and there is otherwise no reason to wait. Should we in the meantime count on a more favorable mutation to protect us?
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