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Strategies & Market Trends : Fidelity Select Sector funds

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To: Shihchung Diana Shiue who started this subject12/31/2000 3:59:25 PM
From: selectinvestor   of 4916
 
From this week's Commentary ...

The Good News

2000 is the worst year for the major market indices in 30 years.

The NASDAQ ended down - 39.3%. This index has never had a year
this bad in its 30 year history. The second worst year was 1974
when the NASDAQ ended down - 35.1%. The S&P 500 ended down -
10.1%. The S&P 500 has not lost more than 10% since 1977 when it
suffered an - 11.5% loss. The Dow fared a little better ending
down - 6.2%, but this is still the worst year since it posted an
- 9.2% loss in 1981.

What is the good news in all of this?

In the worst market conditions in thirty years, our portfolios
have delivered very solid gains.

Our Portfolios 1998 1999 2000

Investor's 11.4 % 30.9 % 24.0 %
Technology NA 66.6 % 1.04 %
Security 24.7 % 23.7 % 12.8 %
Buy & Hold NA NA - 2.69 %

S & P 500 28.6 % 21.0 % - 10.1 %
December 31, 2000

The Bad News

There will continue to be a lot of bad news in the coming weeks.

As earnings warnings give way to disappointing earnings reports
and the economy continues to slow, there will be no incentive
for renewed momentum in technology and other growth sectors.

Thus, the overall market should continue weak and directionless,
but as the January 30th Fed meeting nears and hopes for lowering
interest rates rise, the financial and other value sectors
should continue to do well.

What This Means for Us

The Santa Claus rally passed most investors by this year, but
because we moved out of technology sectors and into financial
sectors we had a very strong December.

The S&P 500 was up a modest 0.38% in December and the NASDAQ
lost - 6.6%, while our three diversified portfolios gained
between 6.07% and 8.96%.

Our currently strong sectors should continue to be strong in
January.

Russell Cox
selectinvestor.com
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