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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND)
ASND 205.50-1.5%Dec 5 9:30 AM EST

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To: Bald Eagle who wrote (32711)1/31/1998 11:01:00 AM
From: Larry J.   of 61433
 
ASND's PE is about 30 for now

Well not exactly, really depends on what timeframe you're looking at:

ASND's Trailing PE (1.06 a per share) is 27.89

1998 PE (1.18 e per First Call) is 25.05

1999 PE (1.43 e per Zacks) is 20.67

First Call has the Long Term Growth Rate @ 32% vs. industry @ 24%

Current mean recommendation is at 2.2, up from 2.4 the week prior.
There were 6 upward revisions for FY '98 in the last 7 days, 8 upward revisions in the last 30. Compared with 4 downward in the last 7, and 5 in the last 30. (I believe these are the laggard analysts that never re-set estimates after Q3).

I tend to agree that ASND will hover in the low $30's until near the end of the 1st Q, but certainly valuations will begin to be based more on '99 estimates (1.43) as visibility and consistency of earnings improves.
This alone nets a share price of $35.75 (25x). IMO we will begin to see upward revisions for '98 and '99 coming in around 1.38 and 1.80 respectively in 2H '98.

Larry
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