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Technology Stocks : Vitesse Semiconductor

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To: shannon who wrote (333)	12/5/1996 4:19:00 PM
From: Robert Talty	of 4710

Shannon, I assume that you mean the Nonlinear Systems analysis technique. The results are very mixed at the moment. They depend on how far back I go with the data. In principle a greater depth of historical data should result in a more accurate model ( i.e. the bounds of uncertainity should decrease ) what I'm getting is results where the uncertainity is increasing so i think the model needs some work. However, short term I am still showing a price increase with a definite turning point at $55. Personally from a trading perspective I think we have are in a situtation similar to mid Sept through mid Oct with a definite max and a steadily dropping min price. regards Robert Talty

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