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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Paul Senior who wrote (33562)2/20/2009 8:59:17 AM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris   of 78717
 
BTW, with all that I said about BRK being an attractive investment at current prices, I will agree that it is not an extremely attractive investment. It could definitely go lower. One intrinsic factor to consider is Buffett's age and health. I will repeat what I said earlier: I have seen no reason to trust his successors, since I have no record of their performance. Most of BRK's businesses will do OK when Buffett dies, but the investment side may do poorly. Other reasons to avoid BRK could be its size and non-transparency of its (re)insurance side, where one has to trust Buffett and Jain to correctly evaluate risks.

I may move all my remaining WSC money into BRK, since WSC is much more an investment vehicle as opposed to being a business. It is still cheaper than BRK on some metrics and there could be scenarios where it outperforms BRK from here, e.g. if investments outperform the captive businesses. However, the ratio of WSC to BRK is somewhat attractive and BRKs captive businesses + BRK-only investments are attractive too.
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