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Politics : Sharks in the Septic Tank
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To: cosmicforce who wrote (33835)10/17/2001 7:13:08 PM
From: TimF   of 82486
 
The Taliban controls most of the country. The control is not total. But Al-Qaida would not have been able to opperate as openly as they did without support of the Taliban. They might get to use the territory of some local warlord but that local warlord could get crushed if need be. Most likely no faction within Afghanistan will extend the acceptance to Al-Qaida that the Taliban did if the Taliban falls. Al-Qaida is forign to Afghanistan. They don't have their own base of support. If they try to force some small group to support them larger groups within Afghanistan will probably act in support of the warlord they try to coerce. Al-Qaida might be able to deploy 4,000 armed men. The Northern Aliance has over 3 times that. The current government maybe 10 times that.

If Al-Qaida was native to Afghanistan and had its own base of support I might agree with you, but I don't think anyone of any significance in Afghanistan will support the Al-Qaida should the Taliban fall.

Tim
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