April 20, 1998, 10:47 p.m. PT
Microsoft's Gates Sees Blending of Cable, Telecom Companies
Denver, April 21 (Bloomberg) -- Cable-television and telecommunications companies will become more similar as their ability to deliver high-speed data communications over the Internet expands during the next five to 10 years, Microsoft Corp. Chairman and Chief Executive Bill Gates said.
Gates likened the current race between the Baby Bells and the cable industry to provide a single source for video, telephony and high-speed Internet access to the situation of the semiconductor chip industry on the eve of the introduction of the personal computer.
''There are great opportunities for cable companies that invest in the right ways as well as for telephone companies that also invest in the right ways,'' Gates said at a United Way event in Denver last night.
Gates, 42, is generally regarded as a technology visionary, and Microsoft's $1 billion investment in Comcast Corp. last year, touched off months of speculation that the software giant would make similar investments in other cable companies, like Tele- Communications Inc. and U S West Media Group Inc. There's also been a wave of partnerships as telecom and high-technology companies find ways to use the pipeline to almost 100 million U.S. homes provided by a cable-TV industry's fiber optics network.
''You'll see us doing a lot with the phone companies, as well as other things with the cable companies,'' Gates said. Although he didn't mention any companies by name, he said the telephone companies are making good progress with digital subscriber line (DSL) technology, which increases the capacity of conventional copper telephone wiring to carry multiple signals at the same time.
One such company, U S West Communications, the Colorado- based Baby Bell, said yesterday it would begin offering 120 channels of digital entertainment and information programming in Phoenix this summer, using very high-speed digital subscriber line (VDSL) technology.
What's been greatly underestimated is the demand for high- speed communications capabilities required to make software advances widely used in the home and business environment, Gates said.
Because of that, demand for data connections should generate revenue streams ''way beyond'' that currently generated by broadcast video, cable and voice telephone services, he said.
Because the cost of building new infrastructure capable of carrying sound video and high-speed data transmission is so high, there's ''no scenario where one (industry) is the victor and the other is the loser,'' Gates said. Within five to 10 years, ''we won't be able to tell the difference between them,'' he said.
--Jeanie Stokes in Denver (303) 267-0311 through the New York
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