Review of current holdings: (thoughts, targets and stops)
BSML short very poor fundamentals target 6s no stop will add 12.75 longer term position some recent insider buying is causing me some concerns (only reason I havent added yet)
CWON - short longer term short, might be a zero, will take mid 3s. will add 8.50-9.00 no stop
DLIA short another pos Target is on core position $4.00 (will cover trading shares from 6.98 around 5.75) will add at 9.00 no stops here medium term position
IDN short what a pos this is!!!!!!!!!!! target mid 6s Next add at 13.00 long term if needed here no stops This is one tough stock to break, I hate trading AMEX stocks. But just like every other pos, eventually the axe will fall.
RSTO short poor fundamentals (I think this retailer is doomed to fail) time for a major retrace target 4.00 no stop will add near 8.00
ALOY short poor fundamentals and ugly business plan (dependancy on teenagers is very unpredictable, but expectation levels are very high) Longer term position Target 8-9 no stop loss here, but will watch carefully (could be trying to breakout)
WEBX short another fundamentally poor story longer term position target 15-16 on core position, will add around 25 to stops for now
CORV long medium term position I feel there is some value here, but a terrible sector. no stop here. will do something a bit different here: will add 1/4 position every 1/2 point down and sell 1/4 position every 1/2 point up want to try something a tad different here and see how it works out, so far so good. target 5.00 on any optical bounce
CKCM long fundamentally questionable stop at 7.75 target 10s (1-2 weeks)
HOMS short fundamentals are ha ha ha ha ha ha ha they are king of pro-forma nice trading range 27s to 35s will add 38-39 no stop target 29 medium term
LWIN short terrible fundamentals, could very easily be a GTZ long term play target below 5.00 no stops here will add at 35.00
HLEX short looking for a retrace of end of quarter gains fundamentally seems poor target high 7s no stop for now short term trade, but could change to medium, smells like pos Currently sitting just below resistance at 10.25
ILMN short fundamentals are terrible, dna research company target very low 10s will add around 13.00 to 13.50 no stop for now short term to medium
EMEX short what a joke this company is. this is a very long term position with target of ZERO will add 1/4 position every 40% intervals no stops
MMPT short fundamentals are very poor looking to retrace recent gains to the 5.00 level no stops here will add around 8.00
WCOM long basically a hedge against some of my longs value oriented play target 17s for now no stops
ERICY long tough sector here looking for a very short term bounce to low 5s I would actually add to this position at 4 or below (btw this would be very unusual for me, as I never add to losing longs) I think this is a reasonable play to hedge some shorts
PCLN long the internuts are back, been very strong for a month now. looking for a bounce to mid 8s nice trading range lately (low 7s to mid 8s) stop 6.95
I am about 64% to 36% right now to the short side and 62% invested of cash (not margin). Many of my shorts are not market dependant.
I see more tankage early next week. NAZ 2000 should fall easy. The warning are many and very brutal. Economic numbers appear very recession oriented and the Fed is almost out of bullets (maybe another 25 bps)
Patience is crucial, I never like forcing trades. Make sure you allocate well on your shorts. If you are adding to existing short positions, please use larger % intervals (25% or so) Show lots of patience on potential new positions.
Nasdaq has had lots of trouble between 2250-2300 level, nice resistance there. A breakout of these level could take the NAZ to the 2500-2600 level. Next big level of NAZ support is 1940-1960 (2000 is more of a mental support)
Watch for July 17 as possibly a big reversal day. Summer rally ran out of steam around this date 3 straight years.
Buy the Champs and Short the Chumps
traderpulse.com; Michail |