SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Pump's daily trading recs, emphasis on short selling

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Michail Shadkin who started this subject7/8/2001 12:19:22 PM
From: Michail Shadkin   of 6873
 
My formula for finding exit points on pump and dumps

This is a repost from about 5 weeks ago for those that missed it.

There is easy money and there is the hard money.

Lets use TIVO as an example.

they moved from 5 to 12 and clearly topped out at 11.50 on friday all day.

thats 7 points
(I never count any initial gaps)

easy money on the initial retrace is about 35% of the move in bull markets and 50-60% in bear markets.

In TIVO's case thats 7 times .35, which is 2.45 meaning just above 9.00 in bull markets

In a bear market like now, 7 times .50, which is 3.50 meaning exit is close to 8.00

I was more patient with them to low 7s, because they are so poor fundamentally.
Initial retrace should be over now, slight bounce for 1-2 days.

the hard money is the secondary fuller retrace, usually 75-80%.

I personally prefer the easy money approach and move on.
I hate fighting long battles, unless the direction of the overall market is very clear.

I love hit and run

traderpulse.com
Michail
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext