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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: robert b furman who wrote (35985)1/4/1999 6:13:00 AM
From: William H Huebl   of 94695
 
Bob,

Interesting indicator is the relative strength comparator between DOW and 30 year bond interest... if a trend line is drawn back to 1995 on the lows (peaks cause I reversed the chart), EACH AND EVERY TIME (6 in all) the peak hit that line, the market moved up as much as 10% and then reversed itself and was the same, lower or in the same range 6 months later. So THAT fits in with the thought we should move up strongly here and then BK back down.

To answer your question, the LNHNL indicator "rules" say that if the Lesser of the new highs and new lows get much over 50 for the NYSE, then you can expect turmoil in the markets over the next 6 months. What that means if all stocks are acting the same way, that LNHNLs should be low. If not, you have a market which is not unified and possibly with no clear direction!

Bill
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