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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...?
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To: yard_man who wrote (3725)6/30/1997 2:07:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins   of 13594
 
Hi Barry; havent checked prices of puts o MUIE..but she is going
on down..MU..will bounce back soon I think..to late for her.
ADCT is my best put right now.
CYRX best call.
SYQT is a buy and hold at 2-1/4, and strong buy at 2, and very
strong buy under 2.
My short interset project is coming along..still needs a lot of
work..to bad I mostly have only Nasdaq data..so far what I shaped
up from it..It predicts the lossers a lot better than the winners.
I think I understand why that is..but's hard to explain.
You can catch stocks "hanging" that just went up not because of
NEW buyers..but because of short covering..but you have to be
sure the volume was short covering and not something else..
if that turns out to be the case , then the short interest falls,
but as the stock price goes up, then you got a good short..
the bunch that got sqezzed out had to buy in and lost money is
is what you exploit. They covered..you short..providing she is
on her "high" end..a drop in short interest on her low end
is not good news..they done covered , but a run up in short
interest ...right after a fall..is the johny come late shorters,
they short near the bottom of the run..having missed the curve..
this is hard to find..but when you do you got a good call
position..the data is not fresh ..take a lot of extrapolating and
much of it has to be tossed out ...but there are a few that you
can sometimes dig out..it takes digging. Sometimes you find what
looks like a good deal ..but as you dust it off good you find
it's a got a shabby side to it. Time is importent in getting them,
but it also works aginst you as you can't always dust it off and
turn it over and check it from all angles before it makes any
move it is due to make. If it looks good..I dive and then if when
I turn it over..it don't hold up I back out.
Got 30 contrats of the july ADBE up for sale now..holding the JAN.
Jim
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