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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed

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To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (405323)	5/20/2010 9:24:03 PM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) of 436258

> who is that asshole who attacked you last week? Hahaha. Cause I told him what does not crash must blow, and he did not believe. Yes, this has been a favorite theme of mine for more than a decade. The non-linear feedback effect inside a derivative house of cards collapse. Ah, a statistical self-propagating outlier that keeps propagating until it is bailed out by the Fed. Hahaha told me there is no inherent danger in that, and an outlier is what it is, statistical. It's against my beliefs It did not blow. I admit I was wrong like Prechter. I am still wrong, cause I still believe it will blow, and 2008 only confirmed that to me. To common folks this self-propagating outlier is known as the mythical "derivative meltdown". I also stated way back when (a decade ago) that derivative bubble will continue to grow until it gets bigger than the Fed, so the self-reinforcing outlier can't be stopped. Then again, how can it get bigger than the Fed if the Fed can print? The latter meltdown is known as SHTF, although the one we are about to experience was never experienced before. I think we are almost there, but I may be mistaken.

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