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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis

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To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (40964)	1/15/2001 4:23:50 PM
From: Logain Ablar	of 42787

Lee: I think 25 basis points is a given. Think about it. If the FED didn't lower by the 50 basis points we would have had a crash by the end of the 1st week (1800 on the naz anyway). Scary thought and he is still scared so I still don't rule out a 50bp. Now if the market has factored in a 50 (if we break 2700 to the upside it definitely has) and we only have a 25 well we all know that will lead to, a good restest of supports. At this point I think we stay above 2,500 but if we break I'll be running for the hills (probably be whipsawed again). Since his last statement about more of a concern for the economy versus inflation we can still see the 50. Just don't ask me for the odds. I think we need to see the market the week before (and it is the honeymoon period, but history in a bull doesn't work in the bear) the meeting. If it rallys and is overbought odds will be its sold either way. Tim

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