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Pastimes : THE SLIGHTLY MODERATED BOXING RING
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To: Bill who wrote (3911)3/21/2002 6:38:26 PM
From: Dayuhan  Read Replies (1) of 21057
 
In 1990, the murder rate was 2,605. In 1995 it was 1,550. Thus in the 5 years prior to the imposition of the death penalty, the decline was 1055.

The decline in the 5 years subsequent to the imposition of capital punishment was from 1550 in 1995 to 952 in 2000, or 598.

dropped a record percentage between 94 and 95, when capital punishment was implemented.

How on earth can you presume that a decline which took place before a penalty was implemented can be caused by the implementation of that penalty? How could that record drop have had anything to do with something that hadn't happened yet?

The murder rate went UP in 1993

Yes, from 2397 to 2420. If you want to make hay of that you will have to do the same with the fact that they rose from 903 to 952 from 1999 to 2000. Given the small size of the variation and the consistency of the surrounding trend, the 23-point rise in the first case seems fairly insignificant. It is difficult to interpret the rise in the second case, since the data end in 2000. It could be a statistical aberration in a continuing declining trend or the beginning of an uptrend. The numbers don't say.

What a childish thing to say.

I had to assume either that you hadn't looked at the numbers or that you had read them, but were not capable of interpreting them. The former seemed more charitable.
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