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Biotech / Medical : Noven Pharmaceuticals (NOVN)

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To: John McCarthy who wrote (39)3/10/1999 5:58:00 PM
From: zizzerzazzer  Read Replies (1) of 66
 
Fahnestock issued an updated Research Bulletin on NOVN today. Still rate a Strong Buy. However, nothing really new in the bulletin. Still at $0.10 EPS in 1999, $0.43 in 2000 and $0.90 in 2001 (non-taxed) and 3-year target of $21. They did mention that they expect a relatively high level of Combipatch sample production throughout 1999 as RPR continues to heavily promote the product.

Note that sample products are not included in script trends.
Fahnestock projects year-end 1999 script level of 45,000 per week. NOVN receives a royalty of 30% to 35% fo RPR's sales and also profitable compensation for the manufacture of Combipatch samples (2 patches = one week). Did not say how profitable samples are.

I don't know if Fahnestock is just being ultra-conservative with its 1999 EPS estimates or if they believe the high level of sample production will restrict margins in 1999. IMHO, I believe NOVN will easily beat $0.10 EPS in 1999. Any thoughts or comments?
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