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Biotech / Medical : VD's Model Portfolio & Discussion Thread

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To: Rocketman who wrote (4105)2/17/1998 10:59:00 AM
From: Biomaven   of 9719
 
Rman:

My own view is that dumping MOGN would be a big mistake. The approval appeared to be for Sjogren's generally, not just for primary Sjogren's. This means a potential market size of 1m people (using the company's figures; I've seen bigger estimates). Salagen doesn't work for all people - maybe only half. They currently sell it for around $1000/yr, with 90% gross margin. Do the math ... The only cautionary note here is that the Sjogren's market is hard to reach, with lots of undiagnosed and under-treated patients, and they don't have a lot of marketing muscle themselves. (Personally I think they'd be better off partnering in the US on Salagen, but there's been no mention of this as a possibility).

Aside from Salagen, MOGN of course has the MGI-114 lottery ticket.

Peter (long MOGN, as perhaps you might have guessed).
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