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Gold/Mining/Energy : Uranium Stocks
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From: Tommaso11/18/2006 3:44:45 PM
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Supply Deficit
The uranium supply deficit has been caused by an oversupply of cheap uranium inventories that have taken 20 years to consume. The depressed prices resulted in the development of a limited number of deposits around the world and uranium exploration effectively ceased. Although exploration has increased recently with the rise in uranium demand and pricing, the discovery of uranium deposits, approval by applicable regulatory authorities, and progression to production can take an exploration company at least four years to achieve and in most cases, a decade or longer.

Each year since 1989, the consumption of uranium has exceeded primary production by a substantial margin. In 2004, global demand for uranium was approximately 173 million pounds while global production was 105 million pounds. The supply shortage of approximately 70 million pounds has been accommodated by sales from existing inventories, former stockpiles stored in Russia and recycling programs. Uranium held in inventories is being drawn down by 35 to 40 million pounds per year and The Nuclear Review estimates that global excess inventories are less than 100 million pounds

In summary, the uranium market will face a growing supply deficit until new mines produce sufficient quantities of uranium to meet the growing demand from the increasing number of operating reactors. Recent decreases in inventory levels, the recognition by Russia of its own internal need for uranium supply (which has resulted in Russia becoming a net importer of uranium) and the construction of approximately 40 new commercial reactors over the next 10 to 15 years will exacerbate this shortfall.


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