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Strategies & Market Trends : 50% Gains Investing

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To: amoezzi who wrote (41346)5/28/2005 11:44:48 AM
From: Schnullie of 118717
 
I assume you meant to direct this to Dale. There was some discussion several months ago regarding NFI's ability to maintain dividends in a down market. The conclusion was that they could but the calcs were convoluted. I'll leave to Dale.

fwiw, my own take on the situation is that, at a minimum, anything to do with RE will get taken out to the shed and shot (assuming a bubble burst). The stock will get trashed.

If you're truly only interested in quarterly cash takeouts, I am skeptical of how the calcs above incorporate the phenomenon of thousands of mortgage holders leaving their keys on the shelf and driving away. I do believe this phenomenon will be largely confined to the obvious bubble areas so NFI's performance may depend largely on their geographic exposure.

jmo....but I've never been wrong......except for that one time in March 2000.....and then there was that time......
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