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Strategies & Market Trends : The Covered Calls for Dummies Thread

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To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (410)5/3/2001 2:59:25 PM
From: EnricoPalazzo   of 5205
 
In other words maybe the CC tactic is best for a sidewise market and actually inferior for a straight up market? Ardethan's statistics are counter to what I'm saying.

Not necessarily. Just as we never had a market go straight down in the 90's like it did recently, it's quite possible that this year will be straight up in a way we've never seen before. The most dangerous part of back-testing is a false sense of security (someone should have told that to Merton & Scholes <gg>).

CC is definitely inferior to straight holding in straight up markets--my strategy underperforms if the increase is > 10% + premium%. It just appears that on average, straight ups don't happen that often (I think that even CSCO went up > 10% "only" about 30 months out of 120).
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