Based on my long-time observation, Mr. Jobs is not only a visionary, but also a strategist. He knows how to create the environment to boost depressed situation. Without him, there will be no stong board team. He takes his courages to admit Microsoft is prevailing, like air to human, which is not easy to utter out. he not only did, but also he cooperated with Microsoft to make Apple survive and hopefully thrive later. His goal is to serve the community as a whole, not his own advantages. We know Apple has stronger hold in technology areas as opposed to Microsoft's (from # of patents, you will see the differences). Therefore, cross-licensing will make Microsoft and Apple obtain what they need in their own weak areas, which also benefit to users, investors, developers, resellers, etc. The profits from cross-lincensing will be a positive leverage force for Apple's quarterly outlooks in the future since the amount could be adjusted based on Apple's needs in a specific timeframe. This undisclosed amount will be a surprising factor to Apple's quarterly report.
For cloners' licensing issue, I feel cloners should express their own commitments to Apple to make Apple feel we are a family. Hence, I suggest cloners may buy into Apple's shares (e.g. 5%) from market value or similar to Microsoft's. Hopefully, they can compromise fees, geographical preference distributions, products sales, etc, in the very near future.
When coming to Chairman & CEO issue, I prefer Mr. Jobs will take either one or both, since he has totaly controlled the situation since he steped in last February based on my long-time observation. Mr. Ellison also prefers Jobs as a Chairman & CEO. If Jobs wants to create another career peak, I believe he should go with Apple with 100% of his dedication.
Friday's market is a little strange for Apple. But, it is a good indication that the market has been over-sold on Apple, probably most of Apple's speculators were on vacation since they made a fortune on shorting it and then buying back between this period, which creates a false image about Apple's current price (it is estimated that Apple's fundamental price has been shifted $7 more from $19 to $26). Well, the current price makes everybody happy because the fundamental value has been established and higher for long holders, the dip of price from $29 to $23.25 makes short sellers either made a fortune or recovered back some losses depending how they maneuvered their positions.
Good luck to to all.
IMHO
Phil C. Lee |