some good blog comments I am reposting from another blog's comment section
Posted by drew, Mar 23 2011, 6:39AM - Link
Kotz, the only way this confusing and confused war in Libya makes any intellectual sense is in its assertion of a new Responsibility to Protect (civilians). The person who invented that concept as a new obligation under international law is Samantha Power. Obama read her book and hired her as his senior foreign policy adviser in 2005.
You may call me obsessed, but I didn't even know who she was until she called Mrs. Clinton a "monster", in 2008, because I don't bother with 34 year-old Irish assistant professors in the USA on a visa who write on how American foreign policy and military hard power should be deployed in the service of a concept she thought up in order to get tenure. And who happens to be married now to a certain other highly educated ideologue who is an ideological source for much of this administration's domestic policy, Cass Sunstein. (She is making war policy on our NSC while retaining an Irish passport.)
The only way to intellectually justify placing American servicemen under foreign command -- currently, we're talking about a "political steering committee", because there is no such thing as a multinational military authority, and I'm not making this up, is to assert that American hard power must serve a higher, international goal that is her own Responsibility to Protect.
The only way to explain the immediate disposal of the stated air supremacy mission of this war (because we immediately figured out that you can't "protect the people" by wiping out a tin horn airforce flying 1960s technology MiGs, which took about 5 minutes, and began targeting the ground forces), is an overriding global responsibility to make Libya safe for western faculty to study. Yes, we have concluded that we need to blow up the village in order to protect it. Bono will do a charity music video and Powers' "Inside the White House" memoir is being shopped already.
Obama's only, and it remains ephemeral, explanation for his about-face on the matter of running the air war against Libya, was his comment that he had a responsibility to protect the citizens of Benghazi.
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So, for how many years or decades shall we protect people (and no one can tell us who it actually is that we are protecting) in Libya, and from whom? Shall we do it with F-15s while the Germans and Spaniards refuse to comply with our definitions of protection? Shall we place the Marines and Navy and Air Force under foreign command for the first time? Are we going to invade Italy because they don't want to sponsor our forward base requirements? Given that there was no entrance strategy, should anyone be concerned that there is no exit strategy? Does it matter that over 90 countries signed up to support Iraq and Afghan coalitions, but here we have two dozen nations who are already arguing about who's in charge? Can anyone send me the powerpoint slide that details the operational chain of command that shows how "we are not leading" (Clinton, last week.) How can France be in charge when it is not in Nato? How can Nato be in charge if Turkey refuses to participate in bombing Libya? Do we need a UN Military Directorate? If we create a UN Military Directorate, will it have North Korea and Iran and Cuba as members, because after all, the UN has a Human Rights Commission and Cuba and Libya have been on it? Egypt has a modern air force (we built it) and a 500,000-man land force (we don't), and they're next door; don't they have a Responsibility to Protect?
This is what happens when you elect a guy as president who has never had a job or managed people, but he reads a lot, and it's all not so very complicated. Especially if you hire people from exactly one academic/demographic cohort, who are so much smarter than the rest of the population, who can't be trusted to authorize the higher purpose of subordinating international forays by the only world superpower. And include college faculty ingenues who have just as much insight into the use of military force as Gates or Webb, because she wrote a book that got made into a movie!, while chairmen of the joint chiefs ignore the most basic insights offered by the Bay of Pigs, killing Diem, walking away from SVN, the collapse of Iran, the failure of the Dutch in their "responsibility to protect" Sarajevo, five years of internecine bloodbaths in the political vacuum that became Iraq, and spending $100B a year to sustain Karzai, who hates us. This isn't amateur hour, this is a farce called the Revenge of the Academics, starring Susan Sarandon and Sean Penn, music by Bono, executive producer George Clooney. If more Americans die or go broke supporting this war, well, tough luck, they should have gone to a better college.
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A strict constitutionalist, as Don and the tanker and the jayhawk (and I) are, is correct in calling this war illegal. But we haven't declared war in Congress since 1942 (that one turned out badly for Rumania and Bulgaria, alas), so no one is going to get impeached. Perhaps, however, Congress would like to revisit their institutional impotence, which I believe is a convenient way for them to avoid going on the record (as they did extensively in support of all three of the Bush 41 and 43 wars, and as they did in passing laws in 91 and 99 making regime change in Iraq the official policy of the USA). As we know, going on the record in support of Bush cost the Dems the presidency in 2004, so they are going to be slow now to take any responsibility.
Unless the CIA stuns me and has someone close enough to Gadaffi to get him geo-located long enough to laze a 500 pounder on his head -- which would violate Obama's stated mission of protecting the people, not implementing regime change -- Gadaffi has won this thing, and USA is wearing a very expensive hat that says, Paper Tiger. We got some pretty good live fire training in, I guess, but tell me how this ends, otherwise. Maybe when the president's vacation ends someone will tell us? When the Arab League says, Just kidding, y'all can go home now, dirty infidel crusaders?
I think it ends when Berlusconi, who is making rumbling sounds that we shouldn't be using bases on his land, brokers some weird crooked deal with Gadaffi (as he has in the past). And Gadaffi goes about his tribal vengeance in the dark while our president returns to pressing matters: is Old Dominion this year's sleeper Cinderalla team?
I regret my sarcasm but this misadventure is a dangerous absurdity in the service of a few very large, very inexperienced, very dangerous egos.
Posted by drew, Mar 23 2011, 7:37AM - Link
Paul, a good friend of mine is president of one of the very largest defense contractors, and is a retired one star from one of the services. Forgive me for not being more specific because I'm not speaking for him. He says the incredulity at American impetuousness in Libya -- on top of the last two years of such comments as "I'm with you" and the indeterminacy of current US foreign policy -- being expressed by nation-clients across the middle east is much, much greater than anything that has been reported.
I have no idea what "I'm with you" today means. Do you? When they were in the streets two years ago, in Iran, we weren't "with them", we were with the Ahmadinejad government.
Because weakness by a superpower is always provocative, and we are demonstrating Brobdingnagian impotence now in Libya, there is the possibility that the region will just explode in flames. We can't possibly police such a conflagration, even if it is caused by a regional democratic impulse.
So will it? Probably not. Why not? Because every autocrat in the region is now going to mercilessly clamp down on any voice for openness. |