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Technology Stocks : Energy Conversion Devices
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To: fred whitridge who wrote (4191)11/8/1999 10:38:00 PM
From: Ray   of 8393
 
Fred:
"Also, if this is so blazingly hot and wouldn't need a dedicated fab but just space for a few extra processes in a clean room, where are the household names in chip manufacture?"

I was not following ECD closely during the years they developed the solar cell technology and the battery technology and the DVD technology, but I suspect that essentially the same question was on the minds of many people with respect to these other (technically) successful developments. Some of the reasons that the "household names" do not get involved during the development phase are:

Not invented here

Not understood here

De-stabilizing ideas not welcome here, hope you fail

We can out-develop or out-market you, so why should we worry

If the problems get worked out at your expense, we will just buy you -- cheaper that way

We would rather spend hundreds of millions on our own risky research and development than pay you a decent royalty (irrational, yes, but not uncommon among bean counters)

No one else has gotten involved with you, so there must be something wrong with the technology

(Sarcasm off)
The fact is that new technology and its applications are usually far better understood by the inventor/s, and others are naturally skeptical -- if not predatory -- in their response. This would not matter so much if ECD's technology was mainly for established markets rather than slowly emerging markets. (Exceptions: chip memories and barrier films).
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