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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (414)8/10/1996 1:32:00 PM
From: Knighty Tin   of 132070
 
Jeff, Part of my answer depends on the type of trading you do. I use Aufhauser for their short sale rebate, and they are fairly low priced on everything else. I use Stock, Cross for low option commissions on Leaps and smaller orders (3 and under). I use Brown & Co. for flat fee option commissions on larger orders and they also have the best margin rates, though I don't use margin. Remember, it isn't just commissions that count. If they don't get the orders right, trade them in a timely basis, or pay close attention on the option specifications, zero commission is too much to pay. MU eps could be anything from negative $1 to positive 25 cents. It depends on how much they demolish the balance sheet to show good numbers. I think an honest accountant would look at all the info as of Aug 31 and come up with a negative 25 cents or so. But there are so many tricks they can play that the real game is likely to be the balance sheet and the footnotes about recognition of revenue. Some games I've talked about before. Since they are losing money on every chip they make, they can just hold more in inventory. They did a lot of that last quarter and could do more this time. Or, they could write down inventory and call it a one-time charge and post some number ex that as their "operating earnings." There will almost certainly be more equipment sales this quarter. They also could sell the Lehi fab building, but we are running short of days on that one. Also, I think it would have to be sold at a loss, unless they find somebody really dumb to pay for a fab nobody wants right now. But I am no expert on Utah real estate. They could also lease it out and count the lease payments as revenues, which they certainly are. They are renegotiating the debt on which they were in technical default. As they do with 3rd-world countries, the banks may allow them to capitalize the interest due as an increased loan and therefore lower interest costs for this one quarter. In other words, this is a touty company given to playing games, so this report will be a lot of fun to read. MB PS, they could also sell more of MUEI, but I haven't heard any murmurings in that direction. It is overpriced now, so that may be a bit too smart for them to consider. -G-
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