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Pastimes : THE SLIGHTLY MODERATED BOXING RING

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To: Lane3 who wrote (4191)3/22/2002 1:29:10 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) of 21057
 
This is the craziest tournament in my memory. I wonder if anyone will have picked all the games correctly.


Probably not.

Consider 1st round 64 teams so 32 games. Second round 16 games. Then 8, then 4 then 2, then 1.v Also there is the play in game to go from 65 teams to 64.

32+16+8+4+2+1+1 = 64 games.

If the chances where even each game, then the chance to guess them all would be 2^64 or according to my PC's calculator 1 in 18,446,744,073,709,551,616. Even if the odds are 100 times better because you can predict games better then 50/50 and 10 million people are playing it would mean there is not much better then a one in 20 billion chance that someone gets all the games right.

Tim
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