America On-Line: will it survive ...? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...?

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To: Cynic 2005 who wrote (4231)	8/1/1997 4:54:00 PM
From: J.S.	of 13594

Mohan, I was just about to write to congratulate you when AOL fell off an 1/8 in after hour (after 4) trading to close at 70.5. Only a "jump" of 4.44% not the 5% you promised. At 70.625 the increase would have been your 5% when rounded. Sorry. Close but no cigar. Better luck next time! Seriously, I think that the fact that AOL will make a small profit is already reflected in the price. Information such as retention rates and transaction fees revenues will probably signal the direction of AOL rather then EPS. I expect a correction either right before earnings or afterwards unless AOL reports really good news. The volume in any case has been relatively light lately. I don't think the big money has voted yet and I really don't see anyone expecting huge returns on AOL stock anytime soon. That's the telling factor. No one can deny that buying AOL at this price is hardly safe on fundamentals. One should expect a big reward for being able to see some value here. I'd feel safer in a penny stock where I would have a chance to make a fivefold profit in a few years. Does anyone expect AOL to do anything like that in the next few years? I think not. Joe

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