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Technology Stocks : All About Sun Microsystems

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To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (42566)3/29/2001 6:57:33 PM
From: Prognosticator   of 64865
 
You're all paranoid about the administration being responsible for this stock market drop. How silly.

Face it. The market is dropping because nobody (including you) is buying. Nobody is buying because nobody knows what the future holds. Nobody knows what the future holds because companies are now not saying anything to analysts because of the full-disclosure regulations. Analysts, having no information, are grasping at straws, digging through trash piles, and running scared with the pack, feeding back the uncertainty that is coming out of the news channels who are talking to the investors who are not buying.

Positive feedback loops create unstable systems, and unstable systems oscillate from limit to limit. We will therefore bounce off zero some time in the near future, then ramp into another bubble, before crashing again, and then ramping again.

Somebody is going to have to break this loop, or put another negative feedback loop around the entire thing or the market will cease to be an effective way to raise capital.

Breaking the loop is simple: ban all Analysts.

A negative-feedback loop would be to raise short-term capital gains to 70%, while eliminating long-term capital gains.

The Fed tries its best to be a negative feedback loop with interest rates, but it has only one control variable with which to manage inflation, currency exchange, and the stock market. It is impossible to control three degrees of freedom with a single control variable.

But What Do I Know (TM).

P.
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