Stan "Q3 warnings season starts right after Labor Day.."
And from what we've been hearing so far, it doesn't look good. An uptrend does nothing to solve the market problem of historically over valued stocks. Just the opposite. An investor use to be able to buy maybe 20 cents worth of earnings for a dollar but today their dollar buys less than 10 cents of earnings. So, simply, it would be necessary for the Dow to be cut in half from current levels to resume historical value levels. But this is beyond Wall Street, since they're still thinking that we need to have a recovery, therefore, its not about to happen immediately, so we continue to remain overvalued. Granted, the price levels look attractive after having fallen to below July lows, but the fundamentals haven't improved and until they do, how much of a bounce can we expect? How many rich short sellers on the institutional side are going to be scared out when they have the gravity of over valuation on their side? |