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Biotech / Medical : Agouron Pharmaceuticals (AGPH)
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To: billkirn who wrote (4285)5/11/1998 11:29:00 PM
From: George T. Santamaria   of 6136
 
< If it were to average 4%, does that mean approx. 200% increase year
to year? >

No. At these growth rates compounding has a dramatic effect. Doing the math correctly, one gets: ((1+4%/100%)^52-1)*100% = 668%. No reasonable person expects that rate to be sustained for long.

Using the weekly scrip data to make projections is useless unless you are carefully accumulating data every week and adding that to a model which averages the fluctuations in the weekly data. My attention span, like that of most people on this thread, is a bit short for that.
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