Say what you will, this is not an Obama landslide and doesn't appear to be headed that direction. While we know the Dems are going to take Congress, on Obama the country is highly divided.
I am not sure why this is surprising to you. For the past 20 years, this country has been pretty evenly split politically.
Right now, it is a tie in FLA, MO and IN -- all of which McCain may well win -- giving him 212 E.V. An additional 49 EVs are in an absolute tie right now.
Where the landslide should one develop will be in the battle ground states. If Obama wins 3 or 4 of them, I consider that to be a landslide. In fact, I am rather stunned at the poll numbers for NV, COL, VA..... numbers that are backed up byincreases in Dem registration and early voter turnout in those states. As for the states you cite, two weeks ago, IN was a McCain state as were FLA and MO 4 weeks ago. The fact that they are tossups now should tell you something. In fact, some are saying that FLA leans Obama.
This continues to be a very close race with Obama carrying a slight lead. If there are any more "socialist eruptions", Obama could still lose it. You'd have to bet on Obama just because he has strong leads in two states (VA and PA). But Obama's campaign has said PA is a 2-point race; if true, and OH closes, this thing could easily end up reversed.
I am afraid what you call socialist eruptions are factors favored by a majority of the American public. [see the WSJ article I posted this AM to steve].
I wouldn't be counting my chickens just yet if I were you.
I never do but thanks for the advice. |
