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Strategies & Market Trends : Stocks Crossing The 13 Week Moving Average <$10.01

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To: James Strauss who wrote (430)4/7/1998 11:47:00 AM
From: IsaacF1  Read Replies (1) of 13094
 
James:

Good morning.

Here is some research on HDWY, looks good, a PE of 28 vs 51 for the industry avg, and:

First, recent news:

datek.newsalert.com

datek.newsalert.com

datek.newsalert.com

Now a chart, what do you make of it's RSI dipping?:

207.95.154.130

And Vector Vest:

PRICE: HDWY closed on 03-Apr-1998 at $9.10 per share.

VALUE: HDWY has a Value of $13.20 per share. Value is the foundation of the VectorVest system.It is a measure of what a stock
is currently worth. Value is based upon earnings, earnings growth rate, dividend payments, dividend growth rate, and financial
performance. Current interest and inflation rates also play an important role in the computation of Value. When interest and/or inflation
rates decrease, Value goes up. When interest rates and inflation increase, Value goes down. Sooner or later a stock's Price and Value
always converge.

RV (Relative Value): HDWY has an RV of 1.50. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RV of 1.50 is excellent. RV reflects the
long-term price appreciation potential of the stock compared to an alternative investment in AAA Corporate Bonds. Stocks with RV
ratings above 1.00 have attractive upside potential. A stock will have an RV greater than 1.00 when its Value is greater than Price,
and its Relative Safety (see below) and forecasted earnings growth rate are above average. In some cases, however, a stock's RV will
be above 1.00 even though its Value is well below Price. This happens when a stock has an exemplary record of financial
performance and an above average earnings growth rate. In this case, the stock is currently selling at a premium, and the investor is
banking on future earnings growth to drive the stock's price higher. This information is very useful not only in knowing whether or not a
stock has favorable price appreciation potential, but it also solves the riddle of whether to buy high growth, high P/E, or low growth,
low P/E stocks.

We believe that RV ratings above 1.00 are required to consistently achieve above average capital gains in the stock market.

RS (Relative Safety): HDWY has an RS rating of 0.66. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RS of 0.66 is poor. VectorVest looks at safety from the viewpoint of an equity investor (one who is buying stock of a company) rather than that of a purchaser of debt (one who is lending money to the company). From this perspective, consistency of financial and operating performance, stock price appreciation history, and price volatility are the key factors used in the evaluation of Relative Safety (RS). Debt to equity ratio, capitalization, sales volume, business longevity and other factors are also considered, but to a lesser degree.

VectorVest favors steady, predictable performers. All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. A stock with an RS greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average of all stocks. A stock with an RS less than 1.00 is less predictable and riskier than
the average stock.

RT (Relative Timing): HDWY has an RT rating of 1.74. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RT of 1.74 is excellent. RT is a fast, responsive, short-term price trend indicator. It analyzes the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price behavior over the last 13 weeks; then reflects and projects the short-term price performance of the stock. Once a stock's Price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue that trend for the short-term. If the trend dissipates, RT will gravitate towards 1.00. Should the price
change dramatically, RT will notice the crucial turning point. When warranted, it will explode from a Price low and dive from a Price
high.

All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. If RT is above 1.00,the stock's Price is in an uptrend. Below 1.00, the stock's Price is in a downtrend.

VST-Vector (VST): HDWY has a VST-Vector rating of 1.39. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an VST of 1.39 is excellent. VST-Vector solves the dilemma of balancing Value, Safety and Timing. Stocks with high RV values often have low RS values, or stocks withlow RV and RS values have high RT's. How can we find the stocks with the best combinations of Value, Safety, and Timing?

The classic vector formula (square root of the sum of the squares) handles this problem. It combines a set of forces into a single
indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. Stocks with the highest VST-Vector have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the ones to own for above average capital application.

GRT (Growth Rate): HDWY has a GRT of 39 % per year. This is excellent. GRT stands for forecasted Earnings Growth Rate in percent per year. GRT is updated each week for every stock. Watch GRT trends very carefully. If the GRT trend is up, the stock's Price will likely rise. If the GRT trend is down, the stock's Price will increase more slowly, cease to increase, or subsequently fall.

Recommendation (REC): HDWY has a Buy recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks which are rising in price,and to avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks which are falling in price.

It has run up recently James, any steam left?

IsaacF1
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