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Pastimes : Discussion Thread

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To: Wharf Rat who wrote (433)	6/14/2008 7:35:49 PM
From: TimF	of 3816

That'll only take about 250 years to do. No it won't. There are already over 400 nuclear power plants in the world, and the first commercial nuclear power plant was built only a bit over 50 years ago not 100. Most of those plants where built in a a period of just 2 to 3 decades, and with newer designs, more world wide wealth, and more need for power we could produce them even faster. It might take 50 years or more, but there is no good reason for it to take 250. The limit on productions of forgings would be unlikely to last very long once the demand started to pick up as decisively as it would with a 1000 new reactor program. Might it take 5, 10, or 15 years to get passed this and other production barriers? Maybe, but 15 years is well short of 250. Remember when the first plants where built we didn't have a lot of experience producing many of the critical components. We learned and created that experience. Over the course of months or years the relative lack of such experience and equipment is a barrier to new production, over the course of decades it is not.

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