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Non-Tech : Bill Wexler's Dog Pound
REFR 1.241-2.3%Jan 9 9:30 AM EST

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To: Sophie Janne who wrote (4474)10/30/1999 8:55:00 PM
From: Druss   of 10293
 
Sophie--I read your post with interest.
I tend to think in terms of percentage gain rather than points. So in this trade assuming he was margined at the typical 50% on a short, Bill had $8.25 a share invested. So picking up $6.50 a share is a really fine hit on the stock.
<<1) He believes the stock is close to its fair value / to its bottom.
2) He believes the market believes the stock is undervalued / oversold.>>
I think you missed a third option in this position. Bill has said he expects a strong bull market to assert itself. So this might be a bad stock but a bull market could raise it. With that in mind I sometimes look at my positions in terms of "Do I have a solid feel for where this stock should be moving?" If the answer is no and I am sitting on fat profits like Bill is I will cover or sell a position to take them. If I end up leaving some on the table that is fine, and if in the case of a short, it were to go up in price I can short again. If I feel a position could go up or down, I will often take profits.
All the Best
Druss
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