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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options

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To: Patrick Slevin who wrote (46708)6/23/1998 3:58:00 PM
From: SE  Read Replies (1) of 58727
 
Patrick,

I don't know if I will be able to ask this in a way that makes sense, but I will try. I know in the past you have followed the BKX for the spoos trading. Now you are indicating it has a divergence. I would imagine that you are looking at other indicators now to see what might lead the spoos and signal the proper timing.

This leads me to believe and I think rightly so that as the markets change, the indicators one uses to trade them must constantly be adjusted in order to stay on top of things.

I also get this impression from the theory of not having too many indicators or the noise will make you indecisive. Find something that works and stick with it, however, once it stops working find something else.

However, it has also been discussed that back-testing is a necessity and TT likes 10 years worth of backtesting. How can a trader be constantly adjusting the main indicators and still get the desired amount of back-testing in order to ensure their accuarcy? Further, if the indicators are changing as market conditions change, doesn't that also mean that back-testing is somewhat unreliable in that depending upon the conditions the indications may work sometimes but not others?

-Scott
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