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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Rascal who wrote (46590)	9/24/2002 6:50:56 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	of 281500

His motives are not credible because he changed the message too many times. You have a point, he has changed the message several times. However, to my mind, that is because the real message is a political "own goal", so he doesn't want to say it. Namely, that deterrence is a two-way street. If we wait passively while Saddam gets nukes, then he will be able to deter us from taking him out, no matter how he behaves. This will likely cede him hegemony of the Gulf in the long run. Or at best, we will enter a new regional cold war, which is a poor situation for American interests in the region. And we don't even want to guess if and when Saddam will take a gamble that he can undetectably give a dirty bomb to any of the terrorist groups we know he has trained and worked with. Saddam is a gambler, let's remember.

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