Small and Regional ISP Growth is Flattening. Listening to the Customer Proves a Crucial Asset [ASND references in bottom paragraph. I would like to see these predictions in numbers of installed ports. As we know, ASND has the biggest ISPs. I thought 3Com would do better in this small/regional ISP sector.]
May 26, 1998
ISP BUSINESS NEWS via NewsEdge Corporation -- The small and regional ISP market is flattening at 4,500 providers, finds San Jose, Calif.-based Infonetics Research, but it's not going away.
Merger and acquisition activity that swamped large providers and involved other communications services providers left a niche for smaller ISPs. Smaller ISPs, according to Infonetics, are companies that provide Internet access to the public for profit, but don't provide national backbone services and aren't registered as CLECs, telcos or cable operators. Rapid response to customers' needs is the niche that these companies occupy.
"Small and regional ISPs are able to listen carefully to their customers and implement changes instantly, whereas large providers take longer to adapt, " says Greg Howard, director of service provider programs at Infonetics and one of the authors of "The Local/Regional Service Provider Opportunity 1998," a study by the group that forecasts market behavior in this segment for 1998-1999.
These ISPs face stiff competition for business customers, who are lured away by bigger providers, says Howard. Nevertheless, this is the market segment where small and regional ISPs have the greatest potential because they can customize services for a particular geography and regional specifics, and respond to customer feedback almost instantly.
The smaller ISPs have been actively developing Web design and systems integration arms, going deeper and deeper into their customers' network, with the ultimate goal to outsource all of it, Infonetics found.
In the 1998-1999 period, Infonetics predicts proliferation of managed VPN services, Internet commerce, access design and consulting, and customer performance traffic analysis. Some of these services will be deployed as a reaction to larger ISP strategies. Traffic analysis, for example, in small and regional ISP configuration, will give customers peace of mind rather than tangible results. This service, however will enable smaller providers to announce QoS agreements.
"Fifty percent of these ISPs will start rolling them out by the end of this year," says Howard.
Ascend Gets Ahead of Bay
The vendor line-up with small and regional ISPs will remain largely the same. On the access side, Infonetics predicts, ISPs will buy (in this order of preference) Cisco [CSCO], Ascend [ASND], Lucent's Livingston [LU], 3Com [COMS] and Bay [BAY] gear. On the router side, the picture will change slightly in 1999. With Cisco leading the market, this year it is followed by Bay and Livingston. Next year, Cisco will be followed by Ascend, and then Bay, with Livingston falling behind, Infonetics predicts. (Greg Howard, Infonetics Research, 408/298-7999)
[Copyright 1998, Phillips Publishing]
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