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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Spekulatius who wrote (48303)	6/11/2012 10:18:42 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris	of 78744

IMHO, deflation scenario can only happen if we have US+Euro recession and China cannot QE and deflates sharply. However, in regards of oil, I've been Peak Oiler, but now I'm not so sure. Shale oil+gas has taken a lot of wind from Peak Oil story for now. I don't want to seem Monday morning quarterback, but I was thinking of selling my oil stocks when oil was still over hundred, since I felt that it's quite possible for oil price to drop quite a bit. We may be there already now or we may see $60's. But oil is just a part of the picture, so oil price drop still does not guarantee deflationary scenario.

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