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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Michael Burry who wrote (4852)8/28/1998 11:54:00 PM
From: Bob Rudd   of 78687
 
Y2k impact on the investor: Speaking generally, y2k remediation hits the income and cash flow as expenses, as would after the fact litigation. Downtime hits earnings directly.
Nothing I've said is directly related to Telebras. I haven't studied the co and you may be completely correct that this issue is more than discounted in the price. The thrust of my comments is that for the next 2 years y2k has the potential to bite the unwary investor and when you see pricing that looks too good to be true, y2k could be an underlying reason.
Submerging market stocks are sometimes priced based on different perspectives than in the US. It's tough to find reliable data on stuff like earnings, book value, cash flows. Y2k estimates are even further down the line. Creative accounting is often a national sport. Stuff goes up just because it's going up - wait a minute, maybe it's more like the US than I thought.

Sorry to ramble, just thought this was an issue to consider.

Respectfully,
Bob
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