SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: longnshort who wrote (486400)5/9/2012 4:04:40 PM
From: Nadine Carroll18 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) of 793877
 
Jay Severin is on Boston's Talk 1200 radio right now. He is a talk show host who spent 20 years running campaigns, so he has interesting insights on politics & campaigns. He says that last night was 2010 redux; a disaster for Obama down the line. He's only sorry there weren't more contests. Lugar losing in Indiana and traditional marriage winning in North Carolina are the main items. But Jay is pointing out a couple of signs the media might miss:

In last night's primary in Wisconsin, 2 Democrats ran for the chance to oppose Gov. Walker; Walker ran unopposed. So you would expect more Democrats to vote than Republicans, since there was no contest on the Republican side, right? Twice as many Republicans voted as Democrats.

In the North Carolina primary, Barack Obama ran unopposed. 1 in 5 Democrats voted for "Other".

In the West Virginia primary, Barack Obama ran unopposed. 41% of Democrats voted for a felon serving time in Texas over Obama (the felon had paid $2,500 to get on the ballot).

Romney had a long bruising primary and his defeated opponents don't even have the grace to endorse him properly. Romney has a double digit lead among independents already despite that.

When pollsters ask, is the country on the right track or wrong track? Wrong track outnumbers Right track by 2 to 1

Tracking polls currently put Romney over Obama by 5%. More importantly, Obama's job approval has been consistently under 50% for two years now. Obama will not win the majority of the undecided voters -- it's an axiom of politics that undecideds always break against the incumbent at least 7 to 3.

Yesterday, Jay put the odds of Obama losing in a landslide as 1 in 3. Today he's sounding even more confident.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News