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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED
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To: edamo who wrote (4861)10/2/2000 10:05:11 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) of 65232
 
Ed, I also see some sea changes wrt alternative energy
the fuel cell has become commercially viable, altho still expensive
FuelCell has customers now
we are tantalizingly close IMO

California now has some municipal vehicles tooling around using liquid methane
they are also expensive, but subsidies are helping

electric battery technology has made 100-fold improvements in the last few years
in both capacity and recharge times

while I agree with you that oil is not likely to be displaced anytime soon, REAL progress is surely being made... in 1973-74 the OPEC shocked US technology, but we quickly backslid into old ways as OPEC lost its controlling grip

the US Sport Utility Vehicle is the laughing stock of the US energy panorama

the fuel cell and battery technology in the mid-70's was deep in the bowels of laboratories during intial development... I contend that cell/battery devmt has moved much farther toward the front windows... furthermore, about 4-6 central players now compete with visibility as to product, engineering, customers, and promises

I watch California and LosAngeles for cutting edge showcases

in two years I predict much more progress will happen, as opposed to the 1970s when everyone forgot about a national response

the FuelCell product that I hear of produces several megawatts of uninterrupted power for midsized corporate buildings
that is viable, price notwithstanding

/ Jim
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