OT -- WLI growth rises plus link to an article from ECRI on how the WLI is widely understood
Weekly Leading Index (Still) Widely Misunderstood
businesscycle.com
[Note: There are numerous links in the original, so it is probably best to read this article there, if interested. I am pretty confident that they won't take it down.]
WLI Growth Rises
Reuters
August 06, 2010
(Reuters) - A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a six-week high in the latest week, but held at a level that suggests the recovery will remain sluggish, a research group said on Friday.
The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index rose to 121.8 in the week ended July 30 from 121.0 the previous week, originally reported at 121.1. That was the highest level since June 18, when it stood at 122.3.
The index's annualized growth rate rose to minus 10.3 percent from minus 10.7 percent a week earlier. That was the highest since July 9, when it stood at minus 9.8 percent. "After being essentially flat since late June following a two-month plunge, the WLI has now risen to a six-week high, but a more sustained downturn in the WLI would certainly heighten recession risks." said Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of ECRI. |
