barret is very happy with demand though
Intel CEO Says Computer Industry Has `Bottomed Out' (Update2) 2001-08-02 06:37 (New York)
Intel CEO Says Computer Industry Has `Bottomed Out' (Update2)
(Industry context, investor comment from third paragraph.)
Penang, Malaysia, Aug. 2 (Bloomberg) -- Intel Corp., the world's biggest chipmaker, expects demand from the computer industry to rebound in the third and fourth quarters, driven by ``back-to-school'' and holiday season sales. ``The industry has bottomed out,'' Chief Executive Craig Barrett said at a press conference on investments in Malaysia. Intel and rivals such as STMicroelectronics NV have been predicting orders may pick up by the end of the year. The semiconductor industry has faced slumping earnings as slowing growth led consumers and businesses to cut spending. European semiconductor stocks such as ST, Europe's biggest chipmaker, and Infineon Technologies AG, rose, extending gains made yesterday after Merrill Lynch & Co. raised its outlook on the semiconductor industry, saying the worst is over. Barrett's comments ``confirm what everyone seems to be thinking now: things have stopped getting worse,'' said Valerie Cazaban-Levy, who helps manage $160 million, including ST and Intel shares, at Stratege Finance in Paris. ``Inventories have been cleared massively. This means the industry could rebound soon.''
Seasonal Recovery?
The extent of any recovery will depend on a recovery in major world economies, Barrett said. ``Until the U.S. and Japan economies get back on track, I am afraid it will be more likely due to seasonal rather than fundamental'' factors, he said. The U.S. economy grew in the second quarter at its slowest pace in eight years as business investment slumped, a government report showed last week. Gross domestic product, the total of all goods and services produced in the U.S., increased at a 0.7 percent annual pace in the April-June period, the Commerce Department said. ``If you look at the history of recession in the last 25 years, typically they don't last more than a year,'' he said. We will have to assume it will follow the law and as soon as it ends, there will be an increase in investments, Barrett said. He also said Intel won't change its forecast that third- quarter sales will fall to $6.2 billion to $6.8 billion, saying he is ``conservative'' with the target. Intel Chief Financial Officer Andy Bryant forecast on July 17 that PC sales will pick up in the second half. His prediction came as Intel reported second-quarter profit fell and sales dropped 24 percent as the company cut personal- computer processor prices and demand slumped. Shares of Intel traded in Germany rose as much as 68 cents, or 1.9 percent, to 35.68 euros ($31.47). In U.S. trading yesterday, the stock rose 3.2 percent to $30.75.
Malaysia
ST shares rose as much as 2.7 percent, extending yesterday's 6 percent gain. Infineon Technologies AG, Germany's largest chipmaker, rose as much as 2.8 percent after gaining 2.5 percent yesterday. The Dow Jones Europe Stoxx 50 Index gained 37.35 points, or 1 percent, to 3972.02, rising for the sixth day. That left the index 7.2 percent above the 21-month low to which it fell on July 25. Intel said it will make additional investments in Malaysia to assemble its Pentium 4 processor, making it the first country in Asia to produce the company's latest computer chip. Intel will also develop a microprocessor design center in Malaysia, also the first such facility in Asia, for the group. Intel has invested $1.9 billion since 1972 in northern Penang state with 8,500 workers, turning it into the Santa Clara, California-based chipmaker's biggest assembly, test and manufacturing facility.
--David Yong in Kuala Lumpur (603) 2160-6802 or at dyong@bloomberg.net, with reporting by Jad Mouawad in Paris/mh/msh/msp
Story illustration: For a graph of Malaysian Pacific Industries Bhd. compared with the benchmark Composite Index, click on {MPI MK <Equity> COMP <GO>} |