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Strategies & Market Trends : One trade a week

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To: DOC who wrote (4)11/2/1998 1:26:00 AM
From: Mike McFarland   of 89
 
Well, if you're making money...
What do you think of this: In the end the only
thing that matters is that you have to be right
about the direction a stock will take--whether you
trade six times a day, or six times a year. Frequent
trading demands that you be right more often...so
the more often you trade, the more likely you are
to exceed your skill.

But is being "right" and trading for lots of small
gains the same thing. No. Scalping a little here
and there is entirely different from finding a
good stock at the right time before the market
finds it. However, presuming to be able to pick
stocks better than the market is folly--rarely can
one individual know more than everybody else--after
all, the average fund manager did not beat the dow
these past ten years.

I always comes back to whether a person beleives
they have skill, or whether they have been lucky.
Everybody always says they'd rather be lucky than
right, but that is silly. Luck runs out.

--MM
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