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Strategies & Market Trends : Z Best Place to Talk Stocks

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To: Harold S. who wrote (50396)1/7/2004 6:59:41 PM
From: E.J. Neitz Jr   of 53068
 
Goldman Sachs comments this evening on Nortel (NT-NY)
Nortel Networks Corporation
EPS (FY Dec) 2003E $0.05, 2004E $0.10
Outperform/Neutral
(NT) $4.76
Nortel won a multi-year agreement with Verizon to supply "voice over IP" (VOIP)
technology. This is a very significant win for both Nortel and the industry. For the
industry, it is a clear indication that carriers will shift capex towards new technology
and away from old technology faster than investors currently expect. This is positive
for Nortel, Juniper, Sonus, and Cisco - the key suppliers of new technology. For
Nortel, the contract supports our market share and margin expansion thesis that
underpinned our July 2003 upgrade of Nortel shares. Nortel will gain share as major
customers shift spending towards new technologies such as VOIP. Additionally,
VOIP typically has 50-60% gross margins vs. the industry's typical 40-45% level. We
reiterate our Outperform rating on NT shares.
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