Why China isn't going to get far. <... In China, the situation regarding the state's attempt to control information and the population's inability to manage it is immeasurably worse. Until China undergoes a genuine cultural revolution that alters permanently and deeply the relationship among state, citizen, and information, that country will bog down at the industrial level. Its sheer size guarantees continued growth, but there will be a flattening in the coming decades and, decisively, China will have great difficulty transitioning from smokestack growth to intellectual innovation and service wealth. ...continued... > carlisle-www.army.mil
I suppose China might just undergo such a cultural revolution. In which case, anything goes.
Thanks Energplay, that's a good link [because I agree with it]. edit... though I disagree with this <Unique China will need even longer to make the next great leap forward from industrial to informational economy--we have at least half a century's advantage. > The idea of people being 50 years or even a century behind is silly. Each child born is only 20 years away from being up with the best of anyone anywhere. All they need is the boot off their neck, the covers off their eyes and their minds turned loose. In a single generation, a country can go from zero to hero. Look at Singapore, Hong Kong, South Korea, Taiwan as development champions.
Mqurice |