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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Spekulatius who wrote (49043)1/16/2013 11:34:56 PM
From: E_K_S   of 78740
 
GOV hit a new 52wk high today. Last $25.14/share. Yield at 6.9%. It is near it's upper end of it's trading range and I plan to use this as a source of funds for my new buys..

Your concern about their parent company's management is w/ merit. I saw this article today:

CWH Investor files Lawsuit against CommonWealth REIT
Empowered News (press release) - ?18 hours ago?
According to the complaint the plaintiff alleges on behalf of purchasers of CommonWealth REIT (NYSE:CWH) common shares during the period between January 10, 2012 and August 8, 2012, that CommonWealth REIT and certain of its officers and directors violated the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 by issuing materially allegedly false and misleading statements regarding CommonWealth REIT’s financial performance and future prospects .
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The Transportation index hit a new high. For those that follow the DOW theory:
For anyone unfamiliar with the Dow Theory non-confirmation, it works rather simply. The two indices to be considered are the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index and the Dow Jones Transportation Average Index. When both are trending higher and making new significant highs (e.g. all-time highs or cyclical rally highs), it is believed that the stock market's rally is confirmed that is, when both the industrial and transportation sectors are making new significant highs, it is generally viewed that the economy is on sound footing and that the stock rally has solid underpinnings from two very important sectors. However, if only one of the two moves to new significant highs, it is considered a non-confirmation, since one sector is not participating fully in the rally; and that fact calls into question the validity of the stock market rally. In other words, believers in Dow Theory non-confirmation feel as though a warning is presented when only one of the two makes new highs because the stock market rally does not appear broad-based.
As a result, I am starting to place my bets to take advantage of renewed double digit growth in China & India. Many of the material stocks are selling at extreme undervalued levels. This may be one sector that provides value and growth. I believe other industrial sectors will do well too. I am looking at investments in AAUKY, VALE, FCX & CNX. There are several other names on my buy list but some are still 10% over the price I want to pay.

Therefore, I plan to begin to be a bit more aggressive (rather than defensive) in my new buys but will initially only scale in w/ 30% of my cash and other equities currently identified as a source of funds.

Any sell offs will be a buying opportunity but we may not get that if/when the Bull takes off.

EKS
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