SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Y2k Why the stock-market will collapse within days/week

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: John Mansfield who wrote (48)5/19/1998 4:25:00 PM
From: John Mansfield   of 185
 
Embedded software Y2k ..Swirbul, GM, utilities again...

'In article <6jkbk4$qfu$1@nnrp1.dejanews.com>,
fedinfo@halifax.com wrote:

>
>
> Recent research indicates that the cost of fixing the manufacturing problems
>at the plant-level may be at least half of what a company spends to fix
>overall data center issues. Machines on the factory floor are very sensitive
>to incorrect dates - more so than was expected. For example, a modern
>pharmaceutical plant maintains 83 computer systems with three million lines of
>code. Within that code are 120,000 date references with potential Y2K
>problems. In addition, the plant runs 138 automated production systems with
>400 date references plus 200 machines with embedded software. . . .
> The problem on the factory floor began 20 years ago when manufacturing found
>that computers could streamline their operations, making a company more
>efficient and thus more profitable. In those early days, off-the-shelf
>software was practically non-existent so each plant developed programs that
>suited individual manufacturing specifications. The result was that custom
>software ruled the factory floor. During this time period, about half of the
>software written for manufacturing was written in Cobol. The remaining
>software was written in a variety of computing languages that might as well be
>gibberish. What this means is that although there are tools currently to hunt
>for zero-zero (00) date errors in Cobol and a few otherlanguages, few exist
>for the vast number of so-called embedded systems. Embedded systems are chips
>and programs (not readily accessible or even visible) which are integral parts
>of control and production equipment. Many must be decoded and fixed
>individually. Repairing devices and software programs is tricky since it is a
>'given' in the industry that new program errors will be introduced in seven
>percent of routine repairs. Compounding the problem is that many of these
>programs can't be fixed because they are inscribed on silicon chips. In those
>cases, manufacturers are forced to scrap any date driven plant equipment. The
>only good news is that these moves force manufacturers to purchase
>leading-edge products that will improve their efficiency and overall
>competitiveness.
> To date, the majority of U.S. manufacturers haven't even completed a
>plantwide assessment to learn the depth of the Y2K problem. With the economy
>booming, manufacturing plants are running three shifts, seven days a week.
>Companies find it difficult to replicate Year 2000 conditions before they
>happen. Because the factories can't afford to close down, the solution
>involves testing during off-peak hours, over planned shutdown periods or
>buying expensive back-up equipment.
>
> General Motors serves as a good example of how traumatic the situation is.
>With over two billion lines of code, GM is the world leader in the number of
>computerized systems. As part of its Y2K program, the company is retiring
>1,700 obsolete computer systems. Estimates to eradicate the millennium bug at
>GM run between $400 and $550 million. The severity of the problem at the
>giant auto manufacturer was recently brought to light when the company ran a
>test with some of its robotic devices. Y2K problems caused the robots to
>freeze - an act that could shut down the entire assembly line.

Yup, Y2K problems are out there. And the are big.

>Maybe some day Fred will wake up to the enormity of the logistical problems.

I work with large logistical problems all the time. Your point is?

>Maybe some day Fred will wake up to the the fact that electrical generation is
>not dependent 'soley' upon the compliance of an individual utility, of which
>NONE are yet compliant.

You know Paul, the only difference between you and I is our differing beliefs on
whether the problem can be solved in time. Except for a possible exception or
few, I know no utilities are compliant, yet. I have posted that. I know how
a relatively small disturbance in generation can bring down large partrs of
the grid. I have posted on that also. I also am seeing the remediation plans,
the failure rates, and the contingency plans.

>Maybe some day Fred will look at the proposed budgets
>and see that no matter what utilities are planning to do they have not
>budgeted the half of what they need.

Just to twist your words around, does this mean you think that the US is
only off by a factor of two for its over all Y2K budget? That isn't to
bad considering where everone is in testing right now.

>Maybe some day Fred will pull his head out of the sand.

I am more of your eyes and hears than you realize. I have the facts to back
up the problems you can only speculate exist in the electric industry. But,
again, I think they can be solved (by most utilities, anyway. Some are
sure to make mistakes).

Back to solving Y2K problems and answering legitimate Y2K questions.

>Nahhhh.
>
>Paul Milne
>http://marketspace.altavista.digital.com/WebPort.asp?ArticleId=375
>
>-----== Posted via Deja News, The Leader in Internet Discussion ==-----
>http://www.dejanews.com/ Now offering spam-free web-based newsreading

___

Subject:
Re: The Continuing Education Of Fred Swirbul Chapter 1
Date:
Mon, 18 May 1998 17:45:46 GMT
From:
Fred Swirbul <fswirbul@ix.netcom.com>
Organization:
ICGNetcom
Newsgroups:
comp.software.year-2000
References:
1
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext