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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND)
ASND 220.42+4.9%Dec 12 9:30 AM EST

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To: djane who wrote (52180)8/16/1998 2:41:00 AM
From: djane   of 61433
 
Bucky89 post on Yahoo thread. Very bullish on Q3/AT&T deal

messages.yahoo.com@m2.yahoo.com

Message 20252 of 20258
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Asndfan
bucky89
Aug 15 1998
2:10PM EDT

Asndfan,

There is no concern for worry. ASND is having a very good quarter.
The statement in the 10Q is a standard cover-your-butt type of
statement. But it is true that Ascend's business is very lumpy. Unlike
companies that manufacture consumer products, Ascend relies on a
lot of big deals because they are in the telecom infrastructure
business. Infrastructure spending is typically cyclical and comes in
spurts with every generation of new technology. That is inherent in
Ascend's business. The downside is every once in a while you'll get a
bad quarter when you've finished shipping your old deals and the new
deals are still in process. Or because you have so much revenue
dependent on a relatively small number of customers, you'll lose one
or two of those big customers and end up with a disappointing
quarter. On the other hand every now and then you get a really, really
big quarter when several big customers receive shipment. I believe
this quarter is one of those really, really big quarters. I believe ASND
may surprise massively on the upside in mid-October when earnings
are announced.


In particular, there are several very large network providers who in
the process of upgrading their ATM networks with Ascend switches,
and for many the bulk of these upgrades are occuring THIS quarter.
Many of these deals have been reported already in the media, but at
least one huge deal has not been officially announced, although it's
been rumored and talked about by analysts (hint: the customer's name
starts with the first letter of the alphabet...).


This is the quarter when it will all come together for Ascend. I for one
will be holding as much Ascend stock as possible come
late-September.

bucky89


ASND: Quote | Profile | Research
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asndfan
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