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Technology Stocks : Deswell Industries (DSWL)

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To: Richard Barron who wrote (542)3/4/1998 12:01:00 AM
From: mod  Read Replies (1) of 1418
 
Richard,

Don't forget some upcoming fundamentals:

- dividend increase in May (probably to .45)

- 20 new injection molding machines go into operation this month, "fully utilized" upon installation

- probably another "expansion" news release before next earnings report

- DSWLF now exceeds $100 million market cap, a level where small cap funds may start showing more interest

I feel a price of $30 is doable by mid-year, with $35-40 by the end of the year or early next year a strong possibility. In fact, if they can continue (and every indication is that they can) their 8-year unbroken record of terrific earnings reports, I'd say it was inevitable.

I respectfully disagree with your p/e multiples, I do not think DSWLF will exceed 12-15x TTM earnings. They will be penalized for being in China, and for paying low taxes. However, a 12-15x multiple is not a big problem, since that would put the stock at $29-36 today based on the last 12 months earnings.

Dennis
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