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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: LindyBill who started this subject7/22/2004 11:52:20 PM
From: LindyBill   of 793868
 
CHINA: Rattling Wooden Sabers
Strategy Page


July 22, 2004: China is now pushing the idea that Taiwan will be peacefully (with perhaps a bit of military threat) taken over by 2020. There has been much speculation that China might make threats to Taiwan, backed by military force, sooner. But a closer examination of China's military power indicates that it will be many years, a decade at least, before China could expect to take Taiwan by force. Then there is the possibility of American intervention. Even 2020 might not be enough time for China to take on American military power.

Taiwan is taking the Chinese threat seriously, and considering moving some of the eight military air bases in western Taiwan, to the eastern side of the island. This would make the air bases less vulnerable to attack by Chinese amphibious troops. But everything on Taiwan is vulnerable to air, with the west coast reachable within ten minutes by warplanes flying from China.
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